China·Keqiao Textile Index

Autumn market volatility fell, the price index fell slightly

——20161031 price index analysis “China·Keqiao Textile Index” 20161031 textile price index closed at 105.08 points, down 0.05% from the previous month, up 0.97% from the beginning of the year and up 0.99% year-on-year.

First, the raw material market rose slightly, polyester small rise viscose fell

According to the monitoring, the raw material price index for the current period closed at 82.02 points, up 0.24% from the previous month, up 2.13% from the beginning of the year and up 0.35% from the same period last year.

1. Polyester raw materials continue to be firm, polyester market is rising slightly

In this issue, the price index of polyester raw materials rose slightly, the polyester raw materials continued to strengthen, the polyester chip market was stabilized partially, and the FDY market in Xiaoshao continued to improve. The price of the manufacturers remained stable. The FDY market in Xiaoshao area was more and more wait-and-see. The manufacturers' prices are stable and some are still rising.

2. The cotton market fell, and the price of viscose staples fell.

Recently, the cotton market has fallen, the market has been waiting to be strengthened, and the transaction has basically fallen. In the early stage, the market was more enthusiastic about throwing storage, and the yarn mills were well stocked. The current market is mainly based on digesting inventories. The viscose staple fiber market has recently fallen sharply, prices have fallen, and sales have remained flat.

Second, the market for grey cloths continued to fall, and the price index fell slightly.

According to the monitoring, the price index of grey cloths closed at 116.88 points, down 0.97% from the previous month and 0.19% at the beginning of the year, up 1.72% year-on-year.

In this issue, the price index on grey cloths declined slightly, and the overall grey cloth market still declined from the previous period. Actual shipments in the grey cloth market continued to decline, and shipments continued to slow.

Third, the sales of apparel fabrics rose, and the price index rose slightly.

According to monitoring, the price index on apparel fabrics closed at 117.66 points, up 0.17% from the previous month, up 0.54% from the beginning of the year and up 0.74% year-on-year.

In this issue, the price index on apparel fabrics rose slightly. The “Golden September and Silver 10” market was generally optimistic. The sales of traditional textile market in China Textile City continued to rise, and the sales of innovative creative color pattern fabrics increased, and the total transaction volume continued to grow.

Fourth, home textile marketing is basically stable, the price index is flat

According to monitoring, the price index on home textiles closed at 101.57 points, which was basically the same as the previous year, up 0.80% from the beginning of the year and up 1.33% year-on-year.

The price index of home textiles in this period was flat, and the overall marketing of China textile market was basically stable, and some varieties were mixed.

5. Market demand continued to fall, and the auxiliary materials index fell slightly.

According to monitoring, the price index of fashion accessories in this period closed at 131.56%, down 0.27% from the previous month, up 3.51% from the beginning of the year and up 6.08% from the same period last year.

The price index of fashion accessories declined slightly in this period, and the apparel accessories market in the traditional market of China Textile City continued to fall.

Sixth, the outlook of the market price index

It is expected that the overall market of China Textile City will fluctuate and rebound in the next period. As the spot transaction of autumn fabrics rises, the orders for autumn and winter thickening fabrics continue to increase, and the orders of apparel manufacturers are still increasing. The industry is still optimistic about the market outlook. The market outlook will show a shock and rebound trend.

Traditional competitive advantage, love base, net worth, information weakening, foreign trade marketing price drop

——Analysis of the foreign trade index in October 2016

As shown in Figure 1 and Figure 2, the foreign trade sentiment index closed at 720.37 points in October 2016, down 11.04% from the previous month and down 34.89% from the same period of last year. The foreign trade price index closed at 110.97 points, down 8.82% from the previous month and down 15.58% from the same period of last year. The Confidence Index closed at 1064.79 points, down 11.74% from the previous month.

First, overseas buyers' stock purchases fell, causing the foreign trade boom to fall

In October, the prosperity index of foreign trade textile enterprises in Keqiao District of Shaoxing City fell, due to the decline in overseas buyers' purchase of goods, and the volume of new orders and export goods of foreign trade enterprises decreased. Among them: cotton and its blended fabrics foreign trade prosperity index fell 18.80%, chemical fiber filament fabrics foreign trade prosperity index fell 7.02%, daily-use home textiles foreign trade prosperity index fell 7.02%, curtains accounted foreign trade prosperity index It fell by 31.61%, driving the overall prosperity index of foreign trade to fall.

Second, the international market demand is weak, the foreign trade price index fell on a month-on-month basis

In October, the foreign trade price index showed a downward trend. Among them: cotton and its blended fabrics foreign trade price index fell 12.39%, chemical staple fiber fabric foreign trade price index fell 37.21%, the tufted fabric foreign trade price index fell 8.03%, driving the foreign trade price index fell.

Third, the next foreign trade index forecast

For the export situation in November 2016, the export growth rate is expected to show a weak recovery trend. In the industry view, the space for further downward exports has been limited. Although the growth rate is slow, China's new advantages in foreign trade competition are growing, and some large-scale textile printing and dyeing enterprises gradually have comprehensive competitive advantages. In addition, the current free trade zone is already playing a role; the “Belt and Road” is also entering the project landing period. These all form a supporting role for foreign trade.

Output growth sales rose, the prosperity index rose

——Analysis of the total prosperity index of October 2016 “China·Keqiao Textile Index” The total prosperity index for October 2016 closed at 1474.64 points, up 3.07% from the previous month and up 1.92% year-on-year. (The picture below shows the general trend chart)

First, the circulation link rose, and the circulation prosperity index rose.

In October, the market's total circulation prosperity index closed at 1296.74 points, up 2.56% from the previous month. In October, the “Golden September and Silver 10” market was generally optimistic. The sales of Shaoxing textile industry increased, and the spot sales of autumn fabrics rose. The orders for autumn and winter fabrics continued to grow, the market sales increased, and the industry circulation increased.

Second, the company's orders increased month-on-month, and the production boom increased.

In October, the company's total production prosperity index closed at 1445.62 points, up 3.64% from the previous month. Enterprise production orders increased from the previous month. In October, Keqiao printing and dyeing enterprises are still in the traditional “Golden September and Silver 10” production season. In early October, many companies have already prepared their products, but at present these stocks have been pulled by the purchasers, and the finished goods warehouse is still basically “zero inventory”. The volume of transactions in the circulation market has contributed to the exceptionally strong production season in October this year. As 2016 China Keqiao International Textile Expo (autumn) was held at China Textile City International Convention and Exhibition Center from October 14th to 17th, with the textile boom Dongfeng, domestic demand increased, and the textile textile product adjustment and conversion continued to expand. Due to the increase in the turnover of innovative products in the autumn, the orders for creative products in autumn and winter increased, which led to a rise in the production prosperity index.

Third, the final forecast of the general prosperity index

In November, it is expected that the sales of light textile industry will fall from the previous month, and the adjustment and conversion of light textile products will continue to expand. The marketing of thin products will continue to shrink and reduce the trend. The subsequent varieties will show a trend of retreat, and the winter products will increase slightly. The overall industry production and sales will be presented. The shocks and small fluctuations, driving the November prosperity index to decline.

Issued by: Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China Prepared by: China Textile City Construction Management Committee "China·Keqiao Textile Index" Compilation Office Chinese Website: http:// Contact: Yan Nan

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