In the first quarter, the export of furniture and other products increased, and the export tax rebate may be fraudulent.

In the first quarter, the export growth of clothing, textiles and footwear products in the country ranged from 10% to 42%. Electromechanical products, integrated circuits and high-tech products are also growing faster in the same period. The total export value of 7 categories of labor-intensive products such as furniture was US$97 billion, up 21.8% year-on-year, accounting for 19.1% of China's total foreign trade exports.

According to the reporter, in 2012, the cumulative export volume of China's furniture and its parts reached US$48.824 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.7%. Among them, from January to August, the national furniture industry has completed a total export value of 31.594 billion US dollars, an increase of 28.05%. From a monthly perspective, January was basically the same as last year. In February, March, and April, the average growth rate was 20%. In May and June, it increased by nearly 50% year-on-year. In July, it increased by 38% year-on-year. In August, it increased by 27.86%. .

The rapid export growth of these products drove the total value of foreign trade imports and exports in the first quarter to 6.12 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%. Of which, exports were 3.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 18.4%.

However, what is interesting is that the volume of port cargo corresponding to the first quarter appears to be sluggish. The throughput of foreign trade cargoes above designated size reached 804.49 million tons, an increase of 9.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 4.2 percentage points compared with the same period of last year.

Since the beginning of this year, the growth rate of China's coastal ports has been quite low this year. For example, the growth rate of foreign trade cargo throughput in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhanjiang, Xiamen and Beibu Gulf ports was less than 10% in the first quarter, but the growth rate of foreign trade in these regions has increased rapidly year-on-year. Exports like Guangdong, Fujian and Guangxi increased by 34.3%, 21.2% and 19.2% respectively.

Li Jian, an expert from the International Trade Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, believes that the port and foreign trade figures do not match and require specific research. For example, precious metals or integrated circuits can be transported by air, so that export figures are hard to come by in the port. However, the number of exports to the Mainland like Hong Kong is much lower than that of Hong Kong. The Customs has already explained. But for more in-depth reasons, research is still needed.

Previous figures show that from December 2012 to March 2013, China Customs announced that the mainland's exports to Hong Kong amounted to 94.9 billion US dollars, while the amount of imports from the mainland announced by the Hong Kong Customs during the same period was only 58.7 billion US dollars. In response to this gap, Zheng Yuesheng, a spokesman for the General Administration of Customs, explained that the products sent to Hong Kong from the Mainland need statistics. However, products re-exported through Hong Kong are not necessarily counted by Hong Kong. In addition, some multinational companies have transferred warehouses in some international logistics distribution centers in Hong Kong to the neighboring Shenzhen area. The logistics distribution and distribution centers of multinational companies are still in Hong Kong, resulting in an increase in the frequency of import and export of goods from the Mainland and Hong Kong.

However, some people engaged in exporting told reporters that it is common for exporting companies to adopt low-price reports and high-price reports for export, and thus get the national tax rebate.

At present, the Ministry of Commerce has sent an investigation team to understand the problem of abnormal foreign trade figures. It is expected that the regular press conference on April 17 will answer.

The port number in the first quarter is sluggish

According to the figures released by the Ministry of Communications, in the first quarter, the throughput of foreign trade cargoes above designated size reached 804.49 million tons, an increase of 9.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 4.2 percentage points compared with the same period of last year. Among them, the coastal port completed 734.55 million tons, an increase of 8.8%.

It appears to be lower in terms of container data directly related to exports. In March, the container throughput of the above-scale ports was 15.2903 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, which was 1.7 percentage points slower than the January-February growth rate.

Specifically, in the coastal ports, the throughput of the major ports from the south to the north is relatively low. In the first three months, the foreign trade cargo throughput of Qingdao Port, Shanghai Port, Ningbo-Zhoushan Port, Xiamen Port, Shenzhen Port and Beibu Gulf Port increased by 8.4%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 8.3%, 4.1%, respectively. 9.8%, all below 10%.

However, in some areas, the growth rate of exports in some places is very low. For example, Shandong and Jiangsu exports were only 3.6% and 3% respectively in the first quarter. Shanghai's exports in March also fell by 4.6%. However, the export situation in Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong and Guangxi was good, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.7%, 21.2%, 34.3%, and 19.2%, respectively. Among them, Guangdong is also showing an accelerated trend.

This kind of port throughput growth is inconsistent with the foreign trade figures, and it is also the same throughout the country.

In the first quarter, the total value of China's foreign trade imports and exports was 6.12 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%. Of which, exports were 3.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 18.4%. However, the growth rate of foreign trade cargo throughput of above-scale ports is only 9.1%. The gap between port growth rate and import and export growth rate is large, especially the export growth rate is almost double the growth rate of foreign trade goods.

This situation has surprised many industry players. Cao Zhongxi, an adviser to the China Port Association, pointed out that the general foreign trade and port numbers are corresponding. There are some mismatches that need to be studied carefully.

The data shows that the national export growth rate in 2012 was around 6.2%. In 2012, the cargo throughput of ports above designated size increased by 6.8% year-on-year. Among them, foreign trade cargo throughput increased by 8.8%. The above three figures are relatively close.

Wang Qianjin, an analyst with China's textile network industry, believes that the port's figures are generally difficult to falsify, so the port is sluggish, confirming that the current export situation is not optimistic. However, the number of foreign trade is very high. There may be cases in which the company has repeatedly exported and imported to Hong Kong, that is, the product is pulled to Hong Kong for export, pulled back for import, and then exported.

For the whole year of this year, the clothing and textile industry is better than last year, but it may be as high as 20% of the current growth rate of garment exports. "The foreign trade figures may have some moisture," he said.